Recently, Xiaobian, like many small partners in market research, watched the September countdown of the calendar. As the market began to improve in August, people's expectations for September also began to rise: the first half of the peak season is not strong, can the second half of the peak season turn over? When this topic has not yet been confirmed, the market seems to be starting to "act foolishly".
In accordance with past practice, market orders will be issued in late August to pave the way for the arrival of "Golden Nine". Now the market order situation has improved partially. Although everyone knows that this year's "Golden Nine" can hardly be made of "9999" pure gold again, do you know whether it can be regarded as "999" pure gold?
I had no choice but to start work before, but now I take the initiative to increase the load.
In July of this year, many manufacturers took advantage of the hot climate and hung up the brand of "summer vacation". The market opening rate was once lower than that of the same period last year. But recently, with the alleviation of high temperature, the market has improved, and the factory's enthusiasm for production has gradually restored.
According to the survey of sample enterprises by China Silk Capital Network, starting from last week, the start-up rates of several major industrial clusters in Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces have risen to varying degrees. Among them, the start-up rates of water-jet looms have risen to more than 80%, circular looms have risen from 4-50% to 5-60%, and warp knitting has risen from 60% to about 70%, compared with the beginning of August. The probability has generally increased by 5-10%.
"Recent orders are a little more than before, and we have restored full production. The next step is to see if the production and marketing can be smooth." Wang Zongzhong, owner of a silk imitation factory in Wujiang area, said. With the coming of autumn and winter season, the demand for cold-proof clothes and leisure clothes on the market will increase, so orders for related fabrics will be issued to a certain extent. Based on this idea, many enterprises begin to produce seasonal products appropriately.
Orders are looking forward to. Traders'orders are recovering!
Previously, the market said that the fight was not "like" but "lonely". In June and July of this year, the fading of the market to a new height also made traders particularly anxious, not only fabric traders, but also clothing traders. Therefore, many customers will choose to let fabric traders send more samples to facilitate customers to make choices and order, of course, most of the samples are "stone sinking sea". In the words of a Shengze trader, more than 200 samples have been made recently, but no real orders have been received. I'm tired!
This deadlock seems to have begun to break recently. Xiaobian visited Shengze, Changxing, Shaoxing and other clusters, and found that the current situation of traders is polarized, good or bad, but the proportion of good news feedback is slightly higher, which also proves that the market is on a good road.
Chen, a trader in Shaoxing, complained to Xiaobian about the incomparability of orders in July, but last week he said that the volume of orders in August was almost the same as that in July, and that the orders on hand could probably reach the end of September, but only in October. Chen Zongzheng, the main fashion fabric in Shengze area, also said that customers have recently placed several conventional silk-like sheets, although the amount is not large, but at least there are sheets to do.
Of course, in the process of visiting, we also found that enterprises still sticking to the road goods are not living well. For example, enterprises that do the trade of polyester taffeta and Oxford cloth industry and trade are indeed facing the dilemma of stockpiling up to the ceiling and losing more money when they start up.
"At present, we have shut down some of the machines, and then we are going to get rid of them, maybe new machines, maybe to be be determined, and the market has not changed very well." He has been in the market for more than ten years.
At present, the market is in the "watershed" of the off-peak season. While people are doubtful, the data also express their views: from the inventory indicators monitored by China Silk Capital Network, the state of accumulated inventory has finally been broken: with the increase of industry load, grey fabric inventory has begun to decline, and most of the enterprises interviewed are also. It means that the production and sales of the factory can be leveled in the near future, but it is not known whether it can go into stock smoothly in the following days.
epilogue
Whether the next market is short-term or long-term, at least now the market has seen the "dawn of hope", of course, we must also face a problem: the economy entered a state of anxiety in 2019.
The economic growth rate in 2018 is the peak of the past decade, but since 2019, the economic growth rate has been declining. It can be seen that the era of high-speed, expanding and strong economic growth and enterprise expansion, layout and scale-up has slowly passed, and a slow growth environment has arrived. All walks of life can not escape this new economic cycle, and the textile industry is no exception.
Therefore, Xiaobian wants to say that the peak season is indeed on the road, but we need to be careful not to be "smoke bombs" to cover our eyes!
